The Netherlands Fails to Achieve Expected Revenue from Gambling Tax Increase

The Dutch government anticipated significant revenue from the increase in gambling taxes, but the reality proved otherwise. From January 2025, the tax has risen from 30.5% to 34.2%, and in January 2026, it will increase to 37.8%. Revenue was projected to grow by €108 million in 2025 and €216 million in 2026. However, at the end of 2025, the increase amounted to only €2 million, and in 2026, only €57 million is anticipated.

Factors Affecting Revenue

Expert Ed Birkin emphasizes that the issues are not solely due to tax rates. The introduction of new deposit limits, advertising restrictions, and a drop in revenues after EURO 2024 have also played a part. For instance, attendance at casinos and gaming halls has decreased by about 11% year-on-year, and some operators link this decline to the increase in taxes.

New Licensing Regime in Ireland

The new licensing regime in Ireland, regulated by GRAI, started on July 1. Currently, 89% of online bets are placed in the local market, but this represents only 35% of the overall total, as the entire iGaming sector remains offshore. Platforms like Pragmatic Solutions assist operators in this transition.

Forecasting for the World Cup

Activity in the prediction markets during the World Cup remains high. The Democratic Republic of the Congo was the most-supported team among those that did not win the tournament. France, Spain, and Portugal led the favorites. Notable match outcomes with the largest losses demonstrated the reliability of traditional bookmakers, which were elusive for the prediction markets.

African Summit at iGB L!VE

The iGB L!VE exhibition featured a key event—the African Summit, attended by representatives from Nigeria, South Africa, and Kenya, as well as organizations like the African Tax Administration Forum. Topics discussed included sustainable taxation and player protection, along with plans for a continent-wide safe gambling week. Ed Birkin raises the question of whether it is possible to conceal tax rates in some regions without harming the entire industry?

These topics and more are covered in the series 'Right to Source'.